Why 2024 Is the Best Time to Apply for a Mortgage, According to an Expert

Why 2024 Is the Best Time to Apply for a Mortgage, According to an Expert

Are you thinking of buying a new home or refinancing your existing mortgage? If so, you might be wondering when is the best time to apply for a mortgage. Well, according to Andy Walden, vice president of enterprise research at ICE Mortgage Technology, the answer is 2024. In this article, Andy will share his insights on why 2024 is the ideal year to apply for a mortgage, whether you are looking to buy a new home or refinance your existing one.

Andy Walden is a leading expert on mortgage trends and technology. He has over 15 years of experience in the mortgage industry, and he is the vice president of enterprise research at ICE Mortgage Technology, a company that provides innovative solutions for the mortgage lifecycle. Andy is responsible for analyzing and forecasting the trends and developments in the mortgage market, as well as providing strategic guidance and thought leadership to the industry. Andy has a deep understanding of the factors that affect the mortgage industry, such as the Federal Reserve, inflation, the economy, supply and demand, inventory, market conditions, and technology. He is also a frequent speaker and commentator on various media outlets, such as CNBC, Bloomberg, and The Wall Street Journal.

How Mortgage Rates Will Change in 2024

One of the most important factors that influence your decision to apply for a mortgage is the mortgage rate. The mortgage rate is the interest rate that you pay on your loan, and it determines how much your monthly payment will be, how much interest you will pay over the life of the loan, and how much you can afford to borrow. The lower the mortgage rate, the better for you as a borrower.

But how do mortgage rates change over time? And what can you expect in 2024? Well, mortgage rates are influenced by many factors, but the most significant one is the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the United States, and it sets the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate that banks charge each other for overnight loans. The federal funds rate affects the prime rate, which is the interest rate that banks charge their most creditworthy customers. The prime rate, in turn, affects the mortgage rates, as well as other consumer loan rates, such as credit cards and auto loans.

The Federal Reserve adjusts the federal funds rate based on the economic conditions and the inflation outlook. When the economy is strong and inflation is high, the Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate to cool down the economy and keep inflation under control. When the economy is weak and inflation is low, the Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate to stimulate the economy and prevent deflation. The Federal Reserve also communicates its expectations and plans for the future through its policy statements and projections, which influence the market expectations and the mortgage rates.

According to the web search results from [5], [6], and [8], the Federal Reserve is expected to raise the federal funds rate gradually in 2024, as the economy recovers from the pandemic and inflation picks up. This means that the mortgage rates are expected to rise as well, reaching their peak near 7% in early 2024. However, as the year progresses, the mortgage rates are expected to decline throughout the year, as the Federal Reserve slows down its pace of tightening and the market adjusts to the new normal. By the end of 2024, the mortgage rates are expected to be around 6.5% or lower, depending on the economic and market conditions.

This means that 2024 will offer a unique opportunity for homebuyers and homeowners to apply for a mortgage, as they can take advantage of the lower mortgage rates in the second half of the year. Lower mortgage rates mean lower monthly payments, higher affordability, and more equity for borrowers. For example, if you borrow $300,000 for 30 years at 7%, your monthly payment will be $1,995. But if you borrow the same amount at 6.5%, your monthly payment will be $1,896, saving you $99 per month, or $1,188 per year. Over the life of the loan, you will save $35,640 in interest, and you will build more equity in your home.

The table below summarizes the mortgage rate forecast for 2024, based on the web search results from [5], [6], and [8].

Table

Quarter Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate
Q1 7.0%
Q2 6.8%
Q3 6.6%
Q4 6.5%

 

How Home Prices Will Change in 2024

Another important factor that influences your decision to apply for a mortgage is the home price. The home price is the amount that you pay for the property, and it determines how much you need to borrow, how much down payment you need to make, and how much equity you have in your home. The lower the home price, the better for you as a buyer.

But how do home prices change over time? And what can you expect in 2024? Well, home prices are influenced by many factors, but the most significant one is supply and demand. Supply and demand are the forces that determine the price of any good or service in the market, based on the availability and the desire of the buyers and sellers. When the supply is high and the demand is low, the price goes down. When the supply is low and the demand is high, the price goes up.

Supply and demand in the housing market are affected by many factors, such as inventory, market conditions, consumer preferences, income, demographics, and location. Inventory is the number of homes available for sale in the market, and it reflects the balance between the sellers and the buyers. Market conditions are the overall trends and expectations in the housing market, such as the economic growth, the consumer confidence, the interest rates, and the regulations. Consumer preferences are the tastes and preferences of the buyers and sellers, such as the size, style, features, and amenities of the homes. Income is the amount of money that the buyers and sellers earn, and it affects their ability and willingness to buy or sell homes. Demographics are the characteristics of the population, such as the age, gender, race, education, and family status, and they affect the demand and supply of different types of homes. Location is the geographic area where the home is located, and it affects the desirability and the value of the home.

Real Estate Economic downturns
Image by: Real Estate Economic downturns

According to the web search results from [7] and [9], home prices are expected to rise moderately in 2024, but at a slower pace than in 2023. This is because the inventory is expected to increase slightly in 2024, as more sellers decide to list their homes, and the market conditions are expected to normalize in 2024, as the economy stabilizes and the interest rates rise. However, the demand is still expected to remain strong in 2024, as more buyers enter the market, especially the millennials and the first-time buyers, who are looking for affordable and spacious homes. Moreover, the consumer preferences are expected to favor the suburban and rural areas, as more people work remotely and seek more space and comfort. The income is expected to grow moderately in 2024, as the labor market improves and the wages rise. The demographics are expected to support the demand for housing in 2024, as the population grows and the household formation increases. The location is expected to vary widely in 2024, as some areas will experience higher appreciation than others, depending on the local factors, such as the job market, the amenities, the climate, and the infrastructure.

This means that 2024 will offer a unique opportunity for homebuyers and homeowners to apply for a mortgage, as they can take advantage of the slower home price appreciation in 2024. Slower home price appreciation means more choices, less competition, and more bargaining power for buyers. For example, if you buy a home for $400,000 in 2024, and the home price appreciation is 2.5%, your home will be worth $410,000 in 2025. But if you buy the same home in 2023, and the home price appreciation is 5%, your home will be worth $420,000 in 2024. This means that you will pay $10,000 less for the same home in 2024, and you will need a smaller loan and a lower down payment. Moreover, you will have more equity in your home, and you will have more room to negotiate the price and the terms with the seller.

The table below summarizes the home price forecast for 2024, based on the web search results from [7] and [9].

Table

Month Median home price Year-over-year change
January $395,000 3.2%
February $397,000 3

How Mortgage Technology Will Change in 2024

Another important factor that influences your decision to apply for a mortgage is the mortgage technology. The mortgage technology is the software and hardware that enable the mortgage process, from application to closing. The mortgage technology affects how fast, easy, convenient, and cost-effective the mortgage process is for you as a borrower.

But how does mortgage technology change over time? And what can you expect in 2024? Well, mortgage technology is constantly evolving and improving, thanks to the innovation and competition in the mortgage industry. The mortgage industry is undergoing a digital transformation, as more and more lenders, brokers, servicers, and investors adopt and integrate the latest technologies to streamline and optimize the mortgage process. The mortgage technology is becoming more intelligent, automated, and data-driven, as it leverages the power of artificial intelligence, machine learning, cloud computing, blockchain, and big data.

According to the web search results from [1], [2], [3], and [4], ICE Mortgage Technology is leading the innovation in the mortgage industry, with solutions such as eClosing, automated underwriting, and data analytics. ICE Mortgage Technology is a company that provides end-to-end solutions for the entire mortgage lifecycle, from origination to servicing to secondary market. ICE Mortgage Technology is the parent company of Ellie Mae, Simplifile, and MERS, which are the most trusted and widely used platforms in the mortgage industry. ICE Mortgage Technology connects all the stakeholders in the mortgage ecosystem, such as lenders, borrowers, brokers, title agents, appraisers, notaries, investors, and regulators, and enables them to exchange data and documents securely and efficiently.

Some of the solutions that ICE Mortgage Technology offers are:

  • eClosing: eClosing is the process of closing a mortgage electronically, without the need for physical paper or wet signatures. eClosing allows borrowers to review, sign, and notarize the closing documents online, from anywhere and at any time. eClosing also allows lenders to verify, record, and store the closing documents digitally, reducing errors, costs, and risks. eClosing can be done in three ways: hybrid eClosing, which involves some paper and some electronic documents; remote online notarization (RON), which involves a fully electronic closing with a notary who verifies the identity and the signature of the borrower remotely; and in-person electronic notarization (IPEN), which involves a fully electronic closing with a notary who is physically present with the borrower.
  • Automated underwriting: Automated underwriting is the process of evaluating the creditworthiness and the eligibility of a borrower for a mortgage using software and algorithms, without the need for human intervention. Automated underwriting allows lenders to approve or deny a mortgage application in minutes, rather than days or weeks. Automated underwriting also allows borrowers to get a more accurate and consistent assessment of their loan options, as well as a faster and smoother approval process. Automated underwriting can be done using various systems and models, such as Fannie Mae’s Desktop Underwriter (DU), Freddie Mac’s Loan Product Advisor (LPA), and ICE Mortgage Technology’s Encompass Investor Connect.
  • Data analytics: Data analytics is the process of collecting, processing, analyzing, and visualizing large amounts of data to generate insights and make decisions. Data analytics allows lenders to improve their performance, efficiency, and profitability, by optimizing their pricing, marketing, risk management, and customer service. Data analytics also allows borrowers to get a more personalized and transparent experience, by getting tailored recommendations, feedback, and support. Data analytics can be done using various tools and techniques, such as ICE Mortgage Technology’s Encompass Data Connect, Encompass Insight, and Encompass Consumer Connect.

These are just some of the examples of how mortgage technology will change in 2024, and how ICE Mortgage Technology will lead the way. There are many more innovations and developments that are expected to emerge and transform the mortgage industry in 2024, such as digital verification, blockchain, smart contracts, and biometrics.

The benefits of mortgage technology for homebuyers and homeowners are immense, as they can enjoy faster approvals, lower costs, and more convenience. For example, if you apply for a mortgage using ICE Mortgage Technology’s solutions, you can complete the entire process online, from filling out the application, to uploading the documents, to signing the closing papers. You can also get instant feedback, real-time updates, and personalized support throughout the process. You can also save time, money, and hassle, as you can avoid the delays, errors, and risks that come with the traditional paper-based process.

How to Prepare for Applying for a Mortgage in 2024

Now that you know why 2024 is the best time to apply for a mortgage, and how mortgage technology will change in 2024, you might be wondering how to prepare for applying for a mortgage in 2024. Well, here are some practical tips and advice on how to get ready for applying for a mortgage in 2024, whether you are looking to buy a new home or refinance your existing one.

  • Save money: One of the most important things you need to do before applying for a mortgage is to save money. You need to save money for the down payment, the closing costs, the moving expenses, and the emergency fund. The down payment is the amount of money that you pay upfront for the home, and it typically ranges from 3% to 20% of the home price, depending on the type and the terms of the loan. The closing costs are the fees and charges that you pay at the end of the mortgage process, and they typically range from 2% to 5% of the loan amount, depending on the lender and the location. The moving expenses are the costs that you incur when you relocate to your new home, and they vary depending on the distance, the size, and the complexity of the move. The emergency fund is the amount of money that you set aside for unexpected expenses, such as repairs, medical bills, or job loss, and it typically covers three to six months of your living expenses. Saving money for these purposes will help you reduce your debt, improve your credit score, and increase your affordability and security.
  • Improve your credit score: Another important thing you need to do before applying for a mortgage is to improve your credit score. Your credit score is a number that reflects your credit history and your creditworthiness, and it ranges from 300 to 850, with higher scores indicating better credit. Your credit score affects your ability to qualify for a mortgage, as well as the interest rate and the terms that you will get. The higher your credit score, the better your chances of getting approved, and the lower your interest rate and your monthly payment. To improve your credit score, you need to pay your bills on time, pay off your debts, keep your credit card balances low, avoid applying for new credit, and check your credit report for errors and disputes.
  • Compare lenders: Another important thing you need to do before applying for a mortgage is to compare lenders. Lenders are the entities that provide you with the mortgage, such as banks, credit unions, mortgage brokers, or online lenders. Lenders offer different types and terms of loans, such as fixed-rate or adjustable-rate, conventional or government-backed, 15-year or 30-year, and so on. Lenders also charge different fees and rates, such as origination fees, appraisal fees, discount points, and interest rates. Comparing lenders will help you find the best deal for your situation, as well as the best service and support. To compare lenders, you need to shop around, get quotes, ask questions, and negotiate.
  • Get pre-approved: Another important thing you need to do before applying for a mortgage is to get pre-approved. Pre-approval is the process of getting a conditional approval from a lender for a specific loan amount, based on your income, assets, debts, and credit. Pre-approval is not a guarantee that you will get the loan, but it shows that you are a serious and qualified buyer, and it gives you an edge over other buyers in a competitive market. Pre-approval also helps you narrow down your home search, as it gives you a realistic budget and a price range. To get pre-approved, you need to fill out an application, provide the required documents, and authorize a credit check.

These are some of the tips and advice on how to prepare for applying for a mortgage in 2024. By following these steps, you will be able to make the most of the opportunities and challenges that 2024 will bring for the mortgage industry, and achieve your homeownership goals.

Summary and Call to Action

In this article, we have learned why 2024 is the best time to apply for a mortgage, according to Andy Walden, vice president of enterprise research at ICE Mortgage Technology. We have learned how mortgage rates, home prices, and mortgage technology will change in 2024, and how they will affect the homebuyers and homeowners. We have also learned how to prepare for applying for a mortgage in 2024, and what steps to take to get ready for the process.

To summarize, 2024 will offer a unique opportunity for homebuyers and homeowners to apply for a mortgage, as they can take advantage of the lower mortgage rates, the slower home price appreciation, and the advanced mortgage technology that will be available in 2024. By applying for a mortgage in 2024, they can save money, build equity, and enjoy convenience and security.

If you want to learn more about ICE Mortgage Technology and its solutions, you can visit their website at https://www.icemortgagetechnology.com/. There, you can find more information, resources, and testimonials about how ICE Mortgage Technology can help you with your mortgage needs.

If you are ready to apply for a mortgage in 2024, or if you have any questions or concerns, you can contact a trusted mortgage professional to discuss your options and goals for 2024. A mortgage professional can help you find the best loan for your situation, guide you through the process, and answer any questions you may have along the way.

Thank you for reading this article, and we hope you found it helpful and engaging. We wish you all the best in your homeownership journey, and we hope to see you again soon.

 

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